The Copa America quarterfinal between Chile and Brazil pits the last two champions of the tournament. But on paper there should be no contest at the Nilton Santos Stadium in Rio de Janeiro.
Here’s why: Brazil has won 29 of the 39 matches played against Chile in official competitions, losing just five times and never falling to defeat at home. The goal disparity is 101-39.
With that kind of history, Chile will be needing a performance for the ages from its old guard, which potentially is featuring in its last run at a trophy together. Those same veteran stars helped Chile win Copa America titles in 2015 and 2016, but they didn’t have to face Brazil to do it.
How to watch Brazil vs. Chile
- Date: Friday, July 2
- Time: 8 pm ET
- TV channel: FS1
- Spanish-language TV: UniMas, TUDN
- Streaming: fuboTV
The match will be broadcast in English on FS1 and in Spanish via UniMas and TUDN. Both English and Spanish networks are available to stream on fuboTV (free 7-day trial).
Brazil lineup changes
Brazil manager Tite continues to alternate ‘keepers with Manchester City’s Ederson starting the match in place of Liverpool’s Alisson. That’s the only official lineup revelation that the coach made in the lead-up.
Brazil left back Alex Sandro hasn’t trained in recent days, according to reports. His spot in the lineup is taken by Renan Lodi, although there were doubts whether Lodi’s injury would allow him to fill in.
This should be a refreshed Brazil that faces Chile, with several starters given the day off for the Group B finale against Ecuador: Thiago Silva, Fred, Gabriel Jesus, Neymar, Casemiro, Danilo and Richarlison were all rested with only the latter three players receiving minutes off the bench.
Alexis Sanchez is back for Chile
Chile will have national team legend Alexis Sanchez back for this game. The Inter Milan player and Chile all-time leading scorer missed the group stage with a right calf strain, but he was not about to miss this match.
Sanchez made the flight to Brazil and is starting at forward with Eduardo Vargas. Chile manager Martin Lasarte opted for a 5-man backline to thwart Brazil and sacrificed England-born Ben Brereton, who is in his first major tournament with Chile. Starting holding midfielder Erick Pulgar, who plays for Fiorentina in Italy, returned to his place in the starting lineup after missing the group finale.
Lasarte calls his old guard — Bravo, Isla, Medel, Vidal, Sanchez and Vargas are all over 30 — “viejo rockeros” (old rock stars) and he promises they have a lot left to give. He better hope they do because there will be plenty of running to do and ground to cover against Brazil.
Brazil vs. Chile starting lineups
Here are the starting lineups announced by both teams:
Brazil (4-2-3-1): 23-Ederson Moraes-GK — 2-Danilo, 4-Marquinhos, 3-Thiago Silva, 16-Renan Lodi — 8-Fred, 5-Casemiro — 7-Richarlison, 10-Neymar, 9-Gabriel Jesus — 20-Roberto Firmino
Chile (5-3-2): 1-Claudio Bravo-GK — 4-Mauricio Isla, 18-Sebastian Vegas, 17-Gary Medel, 6-Francisco Sierralta, 2-Eugenio Mena — 20-Charles Aránguiz, 13-Erick Pulgar, 8-Arturo Vidal — 11-Eduardo Vargas, 10-Alexis Sánchez
Brazil vs. Chile: Odds & prediction
Brazil will bring the best out of Chile in this one and it should be competitive for stretches. But it’s hard to see Brazil losing at home to this Chile team, which needs the perfect game to overcome the talent gap. It’s why La Roja is priced at +1050 to win in regulation.
The two sides haven’t faced off since 2017 and they have yet to meet in 2022 World Cup qualifying. So it’s tough to gauge how this older Chilean team matches up.
The most interesting play here might be the over 2.5 goals given that Chile will find it tough to keep up with the hard-charging counterattacks from the Brazilians. Chile also has the second-highest expected-goals-against metric (5.2) among quarterfinalists, while Brazil has the highest expected goals of any team in the tournament (9.3).
Prediction: Brazil 3, Chile 1
Odds courtesy of DraftKings
- Brazil to win (90 mins): -335
- Brazil to advance: -625
- Draw (90 mins): +420
- Chile to win (90 mins): +1050
- Chile to advance: +425
- Chile over 3.5 total shots on target: +140
- Both teams to score: +150
- Brazil to win and both teams to score: +290
- Brazil to score in both halves: +117
- Brazil -1.75 Asian Handicap: +125
- Over 2.5 total goals: -110