We actually made it to Super Bowl 55, and the matchup between the Chiefs and Buccaneers is just about as good as it gets on paper. With superstars like Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady, Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown, and more in action, there is no shortage of viable options for NFL DFS single-game contests, which means putting together a winning FanDuel lineup won’t be easy. Our picks take a balanced approach in what figures to be a competitive game, but your daily fantasy football strategy might vary.
For instance, you might want to go all-in on one team, which would certainly set your lineup apart if you pick the right players. You could also opt to leave money on the table, as the biggest names aren’t always the ones who come through in the Super Bowl (remember Kyle Juszczyk scoring last year?). You could be contrarian by playing one or even two Kansas City RBs against Tampa’s top-ranked run defense, or you could use the kickers, which isn’t fun but could pay off.
You could also fade superstars like Mahomes or Kelce. We’re fading Tyreek Hill, which is certainly risky — especially since he posted a 269-yard, three-TD game against the Bucs in Week 12 this year — but leaving at least one key player off your team is likely necessary due to FanDuel’s pricing. We’re also fading Tom Brady but trying to make up for that with two Tampa receivers — a smart strategy if you don’t use a team’s QB.
MORE FD SINGLE-GAME: How to win a Single-game contest
FanDuel Single-Game Super Bowl Picks: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers
MVP (1.5x points): Travis Kelce, Chiefs ($14,500)
Using Kelce instead of Mahomes at MVP is certainly a risk, but he’s outscored Mahomes in three of Kansas City’s past six games (and the Cleveland playoff game where Mahomes exited early wasn’t one of them). By using Kelce here, we get at least a little differentiation at our MVP spot, and we do so with a consistently elite producer who will rack up catches and yards and look to score in his seventh straight game.
FLEX: Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs ($16,500)
Mahomes is more guaranteed production, so fading him is a colossal risk. We’re already taking a risk by fading Tyreek Hill, so we’re not doubling down and leaving Mahomes out of our lineup. He’s averaged 290 passing yards and 2.5 touchdowns per game this postseason despite missing a chunk of one game. We know how high the ceiling is (462 yards, three TDs against Tampa in Week 12 this year), and his steady floor ensures we won’t regret this pick.
MORE SUPER BOWL DFS: DraftKings Showdown Lineup
FLEX: Mike Evans, Buccaneers ($11,500)
Evans has had an up-and-down postseason, posting lines of 6-119-0 (10 targets), 1-3-1 (three targets), and 3-51-1 (eight targets). Overall, he’s remained a steady presence and the most likely Tampa WR to score a touchdown, which is why we want him here. Even with Antonio Brown expected back, Evans will be Tom Brady’s go-to guy in the red zone, just like he was in Week 12 against Kansas City when he caught two scores.
FLEX: Antonio Brown, Buccaneers ($9,500)
We’re hoping Brown’s injury status keeps his ownership low, as he missed last week because of a knee injury and will have the “Q” tag by his name leading up to kickoff. Brown had been on a roll prior to getting hurt against New Orleans, scoring in four straight games and posting at least 93 yards in two games in that span. He remains an explosive, sure-handed weapon who can easily pay off his price.
FLEX: Ronald Jones, Buccaneers ($8,000)
There are a lot of interesting options for our last spot, including Mecole Hardman ($7,500), Sammy Watkins ($7,500), and Cameron Brate ($7,000), but we ultimately went with RoJo because of how poorly Kansas City fared against RBs this season. It’s also likely that Jones will be low-owned due to the emergence of Leonard Fournette in the postseason, but keep in mind Jones has had at least 10 carries in each of his two playoff games. He could easily find his way to 60-plus yards and a score. It’s tempting to pivot to Watkins (calf), who, like Brown, will likely be low owned because of his injury issues, but for now we’ll stick with Jones.