Super Bowl 55 represents not only the last game of the season, but also the last chance to play NFL DFS. With so much attention on the game and even casual fans trying to win money, putting together a winning daily fantasy football lineup requires some creativity. For our DraftKings Showdown lineup, we’re going with a cheap, likely overlooked Captain and loading up on four other top players from the Chiefs and Buccaneers who many won’t be able to afford.
Many will want to Captain either Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill, or Tom Brady, which is fine, but that can really limit the rest of your roster. If you’re willing to fade one of those four, you could Captain someone like Darrel Williams and still get the other three Chiefs, plus Antonio Brown and Ronald Jones, which isn’t bad, but we’re going all-in on the stars with our strategy and hoping for a decent amount of yards and a TD from our Captain.
MORE DK SHOWDOWN: How to win a Showdown contest
Super Bowl 55 DraftKings Showdown Picks: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers
Captain (1.5x price, 1.5x points): RB Ronald Jones, Buccaneers ($3,300)
Jones has had a forgetable playoffs, rushing for 78 yards on 23 carries and failing to catch a pass or score while watching Leonard Fournette run wild. That’s why he’s priced $8,400 lower than Fournette for the Captain spot. That presents excellent value for a guy who’s still had at least 10 carries in two straight games and proved to be the better RB throughout the regular season. The big worry here, at least on DK, is that Fournette will remain the primary receiving back, which makes a difference both for the full-point PPR scoring and in the event the Bucs fall behind and have to throw more, but we’ll go for a value Captain against a bad run defense and hope for 60-plus yads a TD.
FLEX: QB Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs ($12,000)
Mahomes has to be in your lineup, but he’s probably too expensive to Captain unless you think Jaydon Mickens can take a kick back to the house or Tyler Johnson can catch a TD. There really isn’t a need to talk up Mahomes here, so instead let’s look at what you risk by fading him. He’s averaged 290 passing yards, 9.5 rushing yards, and 2.5 TDs in two playoff games this year, and last year he averaged just over 300 passing yards, 45 rushing yards, and four TDs in three playoff games. That includes 286 passing yards, 29 rushing yards, and three TDs in the Super Bowl against a better defense than he’s facing this year. He’s going to produce.
FLEX: TE Travis Kelce, Chiefs ($11,000)
You can argue Kelce’s hot streak has to end eventually, but in the past 10 games, he’s had at least 10 targets nine times, at least seven catches 10 times, at least 109 yards seven times (average of 113.9), and at least one TD eight times (total of nine). There simply isn’t a more bankable player in DFS right now, and in DK’s full-point PPR and 100-yard bonus format, you’re taking a huge risk by fading him. He makes for a solid Captain choice if you’re wiling to sacrifice one of the QBs and go ultra-cheap at at least one spot (probably two).
FLEX: WR Tyreek Hill, Chiefs ($10,400)
Out of Kansas City’s “Big 3,” Hill is probably the easiest to fade. However, he also has arguably the highest ceiling, which he showed during the Chiefs’ Week 12 matchup against Tampa when he caught 13 passes for 269 yards and three TDs. Much of that production came in the first quarter. Tampa likely learned something from that game, but that won’t stop many DFS players from expecting a repeat and overvaluing Hill, perhaps even Captaining him despite the strain it puts on the rest of your lineup. Either way, he’s a good bet to make at least a few big plays, like he did in last year’s Super Bowl when he caught nine-of-16 targets for 105 yards, and even if he’s getting shut down as a receiver, he always has the potential to take a handoff or a return to the house.
FLEX: QB Tom Brady, Buccaneers ($10,000)
Brady hasn’t exactly been the most efficient QB during the playoffs, but he’s still managed three straight multi-touchdown games and averaged 286.7 passing yards while accounting for eight scores. It’s possible Tampa goes with a run-heavy game plan to exploit Kansas City’s biggest defensive weakness, but the matchup was similar last week and Brady aired it out 36 times. We’ll bank on the GOAT getting multiple TDs again, and there’s a chance he’s forced to do much more.
FLEX: TE Rob Gronkowski, Buccaneers ($3,000)
Our previous four picks don’t leave us many viable options for this last spot, so it’s either one of the two D/STs (nope) or a TD-or-bust pass-catcher like Byron Pringle ($1,800), Demarcus Robinson ($1,400), Tyler Johnson ($1,200), or Gronk. The latter seems like the best bet, not only for a TD but also a decent amount of yards. Yes, he’s had just two receptions in the playoffs — and two one-target games — but we know Gronk is capable of breaking off a big play or coming up big in the end zone at any time. If Sammy Watkins (calf) is a surprise scratch, we might pivot to Pringle, but for now, Gronk makes sense.